Friday, April 18, 2008

Adding Equity Exposure While "Muddling Through" Crisis

Each day that brings a bit more reassurance that the financial crisis won't turn into a catastrophic melt-down represents a good day for markets, after investors fear the worst for much of 2008.

So, even though we're arguing for being underweight equities until one's semi-annual asset allocation rebalance, we've posted about adding equity exposure gradually, and to gain exposure to major investment themes that should combat the economic cycle and provide high beta if markets turn bullish.

During the week of March 31-April 4, we highlighted the Agriculture theme [specifically agri-biotech Monsanto (MON) and Syngenta (SYT)], the length of the Africa & Middle East theme (TRAMX), and the value of adding some U.S. index exposure (VTI). We also were tracking Water, Solar, Genomics, China, Brazil, Canada and other areas.

This week we extended many of those themes, and are also highlighting Suez (SZEZY - a global utility and water infrastructure company), Lindsay (LNN - a high-tech irrigation equipment company), Itron (ITRI - a global utility metering equipment company), and Origin AgriTech (SEED - a Chinese seed company with substantial "option value"). This week we also saw decreased risk in adding exposure to European (VGK), Emerging Markets (VWO), and Brazil specifically (EWZ).

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